Strong Price Growth Continues in Condo Segment Q1, 2018

TORONTO, ONTARIO, April 16, 2018 –Toronto Real Estate Board President Tim Syrianos announced that the average selling price for condominium apartments sold through TREB’s MLS® System was up by nine per cent year-over-year to $533,447 in the first quarter of 2018.

While the number of condominium apartment sales reported by Greater Toronto Area REALTORS® in the first quarter was down by 29.7 per cent year-over-year to 5,084, so too were the number of new listings, which were down by 11.1 per cent annually to 8,030.

“Seller’s market conditions for condominium apartments remained firmly in place in the first quarter of 2018. Strong competition between buyers underpinned price growth well above the rate of inflation. We expect the condo market segment to remain strong through the remainder of 2018 and over the longer term, as buyers continue to see ownership housing as a quality long-term investment,” said Mr. Syrianos.

Inventory levels for condominium apartments in the first quarter of 2018 were above the record lows experienced during the first three months of 2017. However, with months of inventory continuing to trend between 1.5 and 2.0 months, market conditions remain very tight from a historic perspective. 

“The condominium apartment market segment continues to have the lowest price point on average compared to other major low-rise home types. It stands to reason that condos remain popular with first-time buyers. Strong demand relative to supply will see this segment perform well from a pricing standpoint for the remainder of 2018
and beyond,” said Jason Mercer, TREB’s Director of Market Analysis.  (Read Full Report)

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Seller's Market Conditions Continue in Q4, 2017

January 22, 2018 – Toronto Real Estate Board President Tim Syrianos announced that Greater Toronto Area REALTORS® reported 5,773 condominium apartment sales through TREB’s MLS® System in the fourth quarter of 2017. This result was down by 15.4 per cent compared to the last three months of 2016.

Over the same period, new condominium apartment listings were up by 9.8 per cent to 8,186. While sales were down relative to listings, market conditions still remained tight, with a sales-to-new listings ratio of 70 per cent. “Demand for condominium apartments remained strong relative to listings in the fourth quarter. Even with the uptick in listings, which was certainly welcome, there was enough competition between buyers to prompt double-digit annual rates of price growth. This points to the fact that we still do have a supply problem in the GTA that needs to be addressed to ensure the long term sustainability of the marketplace,” said Mr. Syrianos.

The average selling price for condominium apartments was up by 17.9 per cent yearover-year in the fourth quarter to $515,816. While this annual rate of growth was down from earlier in 2017, the condominium apartment segment was still the leader in terms of price growth in the second half of the year. “Seller’s market conditions remained in place for the condominium apartment market segment in the fourth quarter. Based on price point, this housing type remains top of mind for many first-time buyers. In addition, as home prices have grown year-overyear some buyers who initially may have considered the purchase of a low-rise home have chosen to purchase a condo apartment as well,” said Jason Mercer, TREB’s Director of Market Analysis. (Read full report) 

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Condo Market Conditions Remain Tight in Q3 2017

October 23, 2017 -- Toronto Real Estate Board President Tim Syrianos reported continued average price growth on a year-over-year basis for condominium apartments listed and sold through TREB's MLS® System by Greater Toronto Area REALTORS®. The average selling price was $510,206 in Q3 2017 – up by 22.7 per cent compared to the average of $415,894 reported in Q3 2016.

"The condominium apartment market segment has exhibited the strongest average rates of price growth since the spring, relative to other major market segments. Competition between buyers remains strong, as listings remain below last year's very constrained levels. Over the past few months, TREB has participated in discussions at various levels of government pointed at developing solutions for the housing supply issue in the GTA. As these discussions continue, it will be important to remember that the condominium apartment market is not immune to a listings shortage," said Mr. Syrianos.

"TREB will also be paying close attention to the potential impacts of the new OSFI Guideline B- 20 concerning new mortgage rules and underwriting standards, and the possibility of a vacancy tax in the City of Toronto. We will be asking consumers about their opinion on these initiatives, from the prospective of buying and selling intentions, during our fall polling cycle," continued Mr. Syrianos.

There were 5,684 condominium apartment sales reported through TREB's MLS® System in the third quarter of 2017. This result was down from 7,991 sales reported during the same period in 2016.

New condominium apartment listings were also down on a year-over-year basis by 10 per cent to 9,845 in Q3 2017 compared to 10,967 in Q2 2016.

"Condominium apartments will likely account for a greater share of home sales as we move forward. Consumer polling undertaken for TREB by Ipsos in the spring pointed to increased buying intentions for condominium apartments. With this in mind, it is not surprising that we have continued to see robust price growth, as demand has remained strong relative to available listings," said Jason Mercer, TREB's Director of Market Analysis. (Read Full Report)

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Average Condo Price Up Year-Over-Year in Q2 '17

July 24, 2017 -- Toronto Real Estate Board President Tim Syrianos announced the release of TREB's Q2 2017 Condo Market Report. Greater Toronto Area REALTORS® reported 8,223 condominium apartment sales reported through TREB's MLS® System between April and the end of June. This result was down by eight per cent compared to 8,942 sales reported in Q2 2016.
New listings of condominium apartments were up slightly on a year-over-year basis
by 0.7 per cent to 13,682.

"Despite the recent dip in overall GTA home sales, the condominium apartment market was quite resilient, especially when compared to low-rise market segments. Condo apartment sales accounted for a greater share of overall transactions during the spring compared to the same period last year. Market conditions also remained tight, which resulted in the continuation of strong annual rates of price growth," said Mr. Syrianos.

The average selling price for condominium apartments increased by 28.1 per cent compared to Q2 2016. The average selling price for the TREB market area as a whole was $532,032, with the average price in the City of Toronto higher, at $566,513.

"Recent consumer survey results from Ipsos suggest that condominium apartments will continue to gain in popularity with home buyers over the next year. This makes sense, given that many households, especially first-time buyers looking to live in the City of Toronto, have turned their attention in increasing numbers to less expensive forms of ownership housing," said Jason Mercer, TREB's Director of Market Analysis.  


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Condo Market Conditions Tightened Further in Q1

April 25, 2017 -- Toronto Real Estate Board President Larry Cerqua announced that Greater Toronto Area REALTORS® reported a double-digit annual increase in condominium apartment sales in the first quarter of 2017. A total of 7,251 condominium apartments changed hands through TREB's MLS® System during the first three months of 2017 – up 21.7 per cent compared to the same period in 2016.

Over the same period of time, the number of new condominium apartment listings entered into the MLS® System was down by 18.8 per cent to 9,036 compared to 11,123 new listings a year earlier.

"Condominium apartments have historically been the housing type of choice for many first-time buyers due to the relatively lower price point compared to groundoriented housing options. Given that more than half of intending home buyers are expected to be first-time buyers in 2017, according to a recent Ipsos poll conducted for TREB, it makes sense that demand for this housing type has remained strong," said Mr. Cerqua.

The average selling price for condominium apartments in the first quarter of 2017 was $489,551 – up 24.3 per cent compared to an average of $393,858 for the first quarter of 2016. The average price was highest in the City of Toronto, at $521,842, representing a year-over-year increase of 24.3 per cent.

"Market conditions became much tighter in the condominium apartment segment over the past year, with sales accounting for a greater share of listings. As competition between buyers increased further, the pace of price growth accelerated,"
 said Jason Mercer, TREB's Director of Market Analysis.  

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STRONG CONDO SALES AND PRICE GROWTH IN Q4, 2016

January 26, 2017 -- Toronto Real Estate Board President Larry Cerqua announced that condominium apartment sales reported by Greater Toronto REALTORS® in the fourth quarter of 2016 were up by 22.3 per cent yearover- year to 6,831. Over the same period of time, new listings were down by 13.4 per cent.

With a double-digit annual increase in sales and a double-digit annual decline in new listings, condo market conditions tightened substantially over the past year.

"Gone are the days when we were concerned about a potential glut in inventory in the condominium apartment market. The supply concerns that have been top-ofmind for ground-oriented home types are also now a reality for the condo market segment. Regardless of the price measure considered, heightened competition between condo buyers has resulted in double-digit price inflation," said Mr. Cerqua.

At the end of the fourth quarter, the MLS® Home Price Index apartment benchmark price was up by 15.2 per cent. The average condominium apartment selling price for the fourth quarter was up by 14.5 per cent to $437,281.

"First-time buyers represent an important component of home ownership demand. Many households looking to purchase their first home will consider a condominium apartment. Interest in this market segment has continued to grow as prices for lowrise home types have increased on a sustained basis," said Jason Mercer, TREB's Director of Market Analysis. 


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Sales and Average Price Up on Condos in Q3 2016

 October 24, 2016 -- Toronto Real Estate Board President Larry Cerqua announced that condominium apartment sales reported through TREB's MLS® System in the third quarter of 2016 were up by 22.1 per cent on a year-over-year basis to 8,014. Over the same period, new listings for condominium apartments were down by 13.3 per cent.

"While the low-rise market has been top-of-mind in the supply discussion, it is very important to note that supply pressures have also been experienced in the condominium apartment market segment over the past year. The completion of new units was down substantially during the first three quarters of 2016 compared to the same period in 2015. This arguably played a role in the decline in new condominium apartment listings on TREB's MLS® System," said Mr. Cerqua.

The average price of a condominium apartment in the Q3 2016 was $415,643 – up 9.6 per cent compared to Q3 2015. The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) apartment benchmark price was up by a similar amount on an annual basis throughout the third quarter.

"The annual rate of condominium apartment price growth has accelerated over the past year as the supply of units available for sale became more constrained while demand remained strong. With this said, however, annual rates of price growth remain well-below those for low-rise home types. Condo apartments continue to be an affordable entry point into home ownership for first-time buyers," said Jason Mercer, TREB's Director of Market Analysis. 

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Condo Market Conditions Tighten in Q2 2016

July 21, 2016 -- Toronto Real Estate Board President Larry Cerqua announced another very strong quarter for condominium apartment sales in Q2 2016. Greater Toronto Area REALTORS® reported 8,965 condo apartment sales between the beginning of April and end of June. This result represented an increase of 17.4 per cent in comparison to the same period in 2015.

"TREB REALTOR® Members are involved in all aspects of the condominium apartment market in the Greater Toronto Area, from working with buyers at the pre-construction stage of development through to the resale or rental of existing units. While we have certainly seen a lot of condo construction over the last few years, project completions have not resulted in a glut of inventory. Over the past year, we have actually experienced tighter market conditions and accelerating annual rates of price growth," said Mr. Cerqua.

The average selling price of a condominium apartment in Q2 2016 was $415,326 – up 7.1 per cent compared to Q2 2015. The MLS® Home Price Index apartment benchmark price was up by a similar 7.9 per cent at the end of June.

"Similar to the low-rise market segments, we have seen growth in condo sales outstrip growth in condo listings this year. Seller's market conditions exist for condominium apartments in many parts of the GTA including Toronto's downtown core. This is why we are seeing average price growth well-above the rate of inflation," said Jason Mercer, TREB's Director of Market Analysis. 


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Strong Condo Sales and Price Growth in Q1 2016

April 22, 2016 -- Toronto Real Estate Board President Mark McLean announced that Greater Toronto Area REALTORS® reported 5,974 condominium apartment sales through TREB's MLS® System during the first quarter of 2016 – an increase of 21.2 per cent compared to the first quarter of 2015. Approximately 70 per cent (4,131 sales) of first quarter 2016 transactions occurred in the City of Toronto.

The same annual rate of growth was not experienced for new listings. There were 11,112 new condominium apartment listings entered into TREB's MLS® System in the first quarter – down 1.7 per cent compared to the same period in 2015.

"It is clear that the demand for condominium apartments more than kept up with the supply of listings in the first quarter of this year. This housing type is an important entry point into home ownership for a lot of GTA households, particularly in the City of Toronto. Recent polling undertaken for TREB by Ipsos suggested that approximately half of home purchases made in the GTA this year would be accounted for by first-time buyers," said Mr. McLean.

The average condominium apartment selling price was $393,589 in the first quarter – up 8.1 per cent compared to Q1 2015. Similarly, the MLS® Home Price Index benchmark price for apartments was up by 7.1 per cent on a year-over-year basis at the end of March.

"While the condominium apartment market segment remains the best supplied in the GTA, market conditions have tightened considerably since the first quarter of 2015. Not surprisingly, the pace of year-over-year price growth has accelerated over the same period of time," said Jason Mercer, TREB's Director of Market Analysis.


 

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condo_report_Q3-2017.pdf2.16 MB
condo_report_Q4-2017.pdf2 MB
condo_report_Q1-2018.pdf2.04 MB

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